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A Level H1 Mathematics Practice Paper 5

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A Level H1 Mathematics AI Generated Generated by Owl Alpha Updated 2026-06-07

Questions

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TuitionGoWhere Practice Paper - Maths H1 A-Level

TuitionGoWhere Practice Paper (AI)

Subject: Mathematics H1
Level: A-Level
Paper: Practice Paper — Statistics & Probability
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
Total Marks: 60
Version: 5 of 5

Name: ___________________________
Class: ___________________________
Date: ___________________________


Instructions

  • Write your answers in the spaces provided.
  • Show all working clearly. Marks are awarded for correct method even if the final answer is wrong.
  • Give answers correct to 3 significant figures unless otherwise stated.
  • A graphing calculator may be used where appropriate.
  • The total mark for this paper is 60.
  • The number of marks for each question or part-question is shown in brackets [ ].

Section A: Pure Statistics (30 marks)

Answer all questions in this section.


Question 1 [2 marks]

A random sample of 8 students recorded the number of hours they spent on revision in a week:

12, 15, 10, 18, 14, 11, 16, 1312,\ 15,\ 10,\ 18,\ 14,\ 11,\ 16,\ 13

Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean.

xˉ=xin\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n}

Answer: _______________


Question 2 [3 marks]

Using the data from Question 1, calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance.

s2=(xixˉ)2n1s^2 = \frac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n - 1}

Answer: _______________


Question 3 [3 marks]

The heights of a certain species of plant are normally distributed with mean μ\mu cm and standard deviation σ\sigma cm. A botanist measures a random sample of 5 plants and obtains the following heights (in cm):

42, 45, 38, 47, 4342,\ 45,\ 38,\ 47,\ 43

(a) Find the unbiased estimates of μ\mu and σ2\sigma^2. [2 marks]

(b) State one assumption required for these to be unbiased estimates of the population parameters. [1 mark]


Question 4 [4 marks]

A factory produces light bulbs. The lifetime of the bulbs, XX hours, follows a normal distribution with mean 800 hours and standard deviation 50 hours.

(a) Find P(X>860)\mathrm{P}(X > 860). [2 marks]

(b) Find the value of kk such that P(X<k)=0.90\mathrm{P}(X < k) = 0.90. [2 marks]


Question 5 [3 marks]

A fair six-sided die is rolled 4 times. Let XX be the number of times a six appears.

(a) State the distribution of XX. [1 mark]

(b) Find P(X=2)\mathrm{P}(X = 2). [2 marks]


Question 6 [4 marks]

The number of emails received by an employee per hour follows a Poisson distribution with mean 3.5.

(a) Find the probability that in a given hour, the employee receives exactly 4 emails. [2 marks]

(b) Find the probability that in a given 2-hour period, the employee receives at least 5 emails. [2 marks]


Question 7 [3 marks]

A box contains 7 red balls and 5 blue balls. Three balls are selected at random without replacement.

Find the probability that exactly 2 red balls and 1 blue ball are selected.

Answer: _______________


Question 8 [4 marks]

A random variable XB(20,0.3)X \sim \mathrm{B}(20, 0.3).

(a) Find E(X)\mathrm{E}(X) and Var(X)\mathrm{Var}(X). [2 marks]

(b) Using a suitable approximation, find P(X10)\mathrm{P}(X \geq 10). [2 marks]


Question 9 [4 marks]

A continuous random variable XX has probability density function given by

f(x)={kx(4x)0x40otherwisef(x) = \begin{cases} kx(4 - x) & 0 \leq x \leq 4 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases}

(a) Show that k=332k = \frac{3}{32}. [2 marks]

(b) Find E(X)\mathrm{E}(X). [2 marks]


Section B: Applied Statistics & Data Interpretation (30 marks)

Answer all questions in this section.


Question 10 [5 marks]

The following table shows the daily sales (in $) of a small café over 6 consecutive days:

DayMonTueWedThuFriSat
Sales ($)320280350410390460

(a) Calculate the mean daily sales. [1 mark]

(b) Calculate the standard deviation of the daily sales. [2 marks]

(c) On Sunday, the café recorded sales of $520. Explain the effect this additional value has on the mean and standard deviation. [2 marks]


Question 11 [6 marks]

A market researcher investigates the relationship between advertising expenditure (in thousands of dollars) and monthly sales revenue (in thousands of dollars) for 8 small businesses.

Advertising (xx)2.03.54.05.56.07.58.09.0
Sales (yy)1522253033384045

(a) Calculate the equation of the least squares regression line of yy on xx. Give your answer in the form y=a+bxy = a + bx, where aa and bb are correct to 3 significant figures. [3 marks]

(b) Interpret the value of bb in context. [1 mark]

(c) Use your regression line to estimate the sales revenue when advertising expenditure is $6,500. Comment on the reliability of this estimate. [2 marks]


Question 12 [5 marks]

A medical researcher claims that the mean cholesterol level of adult males in a certain city is 5.0 mmol/L. A random sample of 36 adult males from the city is taken. The sample mean cholesterol level is 5.3 mmol/L with a standard deviation of 1.2 mmol/L.

Test, at the 5% significance level, whether there is evidence that the mean cholesterol level is greater than 5.0 mmol/L.

(a) State the null and alternative hypotheses. [1 mark]

(b) Calculate the test statistic. [1 mark]

(c) State the critical value and your conclusion. [3 marks]


Question 13 [5 marks]

A game involves rolling two fair six-sided dice and summing the scores.

(a) Complete the probability distribution table for the sum SS of the two dice. [3 marks]

ss23456789101112
P(S=s)\mathrm{P}(S = s)

(b) Find E(S)\mathrm{E}(S) and Var(S)\mathrm{Var}(S). [2 marks]


Question 14 [4 marks]

The weights of a certain variety of apple are normally distributed with mean 180 g and standard deviation 15 g.

(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen apple weighs between 165 g and 195 g. [2 marks]

(b) A random sample of 9 apples is selected. Find the probability that the sample mean weight is greater than 185 g. [2 marks]


Question 15 [5 marks]

A survey was conducted on 200 university students regarding their preferred mode of transport to campus. The results are summarised below:

TransportBusMRTCarWalkTotal
Frequency55723835200

(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected student takes the MRT. [1 mark]

(b) Two students are selected at random. Find the probability that both take the bus. [2 marks]

(c) Three students are selected at random. Find the probability that at least one walks. [2 marks]


End of Paper


Mark Summary

SectionMarks
Section A: Questions 1–930
Section B: Questions 10–1530
Total60

Answers

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TuitionGoWhere Practice Paper — Maths H1 A-Level

Answer Key & Marking Scheme

Paper: Practice Paper — Statistics & Probability (Version 5 of 5)
Total Marks: 60


Section A: Pure Statistics (30 marks)


Question 1 [2 marks]

Answer: xˉ=13.625\bar{x} = 13.625

Working:

xˉ=12+15+10+18+14+11+16+138=1098=13.625\bar{x} = \frac{12 + 15 + 10 + 18 + 14 + 11 + 16 + 13}{8} = \frac{109}{8} = 13.625

Marking:

  • M1: Correct substitution into the formula for the mean
  • A1: Correct answer (13.625 or 13.6 to 3 s.f.)

Teaching Note: The unbiased estimate of the population mean is simply the sample mean. We add all data values and divide by the number of observations nn. This is the best single-number estimate of the true population mean μ\mu from sample data.


Question 2 [3 marks]

Answer: s2=6.268s^2 = 6.268 (or 6.27 to 3 s.f.)

Working:

Using xˉ=13.625\bar{x} = 13.625 and n=8n = 8:

xix_ixixˉx_i - \bar{x}(xixˉ)2(x_i - \bar{x})^2
12−1.6252.6406
151.3751.8906
10−3.62513.1406
184.37519.1406
140.3750.1406
11−2.6256.8906
162.3755.6406
13−0.6250.3906

(xixˉ)2=49.875\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2 = 49.875

s2=49.87581=49.8757=7.125s^2 = \frac{49.875}{8 - 1} = \frac{49.875}{7} = 7.125

Correction: Let me recalculate carefully:

(xixˉ)2=2.6406+1.8906+13.1406+19.1406+0.1406+6.8906+5.6406+0.3906=49.875\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2 = 2.6406 + 1.8906 + 13.1406 + 19.1406 + 0.1406 + 6.8906 + 5.6406 + 0.3906 = 49.875

s2=49.8757=7.125s^2 = \frac{49.875}{7} = 7.125

Answer: s2=7.125s^2 = 7.125 (or 7.13 to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • M1: Correct calculation of deviations from the mean
  • M1: Correct use of n1=7n - 1 = 7 in the denominator (not n=8n = 8)
  • A1: Correct final answer

Common Mistake: Using n=8n = 8 instead of n1=7n - 1 = 7 gives 49.8758=6.234\frac{49.875}{8} = 6.234, which is the biased sample variance. The unbiased estimate requires dividing by n1n - 1 to correct for the fact that we are estimating the population parameter from sample data.


Question 3 [3 marks]

(a) [2 marks]

Answer: μ^=43.0\hat{\mu} = 43.0 cm, σ^2=11.5\hat{\sigma}^2 = 11.5 cm2^2

Working:

xˉ=42+45+38+47+435=2155=43.0\bar{x} = \frac{42 + 45 + 38 + 47 + 43}{5} = \frac{215}{5} = 43.0

s2=(4243)2+(4543)2+(3843)2+(4743)2+(4343)251s^2 = \frac{(42-43)^2 + (45-43)^2 + (38-43)^2 + (47-43)^2 + (43-43)^2}{5-1}

=1+4+25+16+04=464=11.5= \frac{1 + 4 + 25 + 16 + 0}{4} = \frac{46}{4} = 11.5

(b) [1 mark]

Answer: The sample must be a random sample from the population (or the plants are independently selected from a normally distributed population).

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Correct calculation of sample mean; A1: Both mean and variance correct
  • (b) B1: Valid assumption stated

Question 4 [4 marks]

XN(800,502)X \sim \mathrm{N}(800, 50^2)

(a) [2 marks]

P(X>860)=P(Z>86080050)=P(Z>1.2)\mathrm{P}(X > 860) = \mathrm{P}\left(Z > \frac{860 - 800}{50}\right) = \mathrm{P}(Z > 1.2)

=1Φ(1.2)=10.8849=0.1151= 1 - \Phi(1.2) = 1 - 0.8849 = 0.1151

Answer: 0.115 (to 3 s.f.)

(b) [2 marks]

We need kk such that P(X<k)=0.90\mathrm{P}(X < k) = 0.90.

P(Z<k80050)=0.90\mathrm{P}\left(Z < \frac{k - 800}{50}\right) = 0.90

From tables, Φ(1.282)=0.90\Phi(1.282) = 0.90, so:

k80050=1.282\frac{k - 800}{50} = 1.282

k=800+50×1.282=864.1k = 800 + 50 \times 1.282 = 864.1

Answer: k=864k = 864 hours (to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Standardising correctly; A1: Correct probability
  • (b) M1: Using inverse normal correctly; A1: Correct value of kk

Question 5 [3 marks]

(a) [1 mark]

Answer: XB(4,16)X \sim \mathrm{B}(4, \frac{1}{6})

(b) [2 marks]

P(X=2)=(42)(16)2(56)2=6×136×2536=1501296=25216\mathrm{P}(X = 2) = \binom{4}{2} \left(\frac{1}{6}\right)^2 \left(\frac{5}{6}\right)^2 = 6 \times \frac{1}{36} \times \frac{25}{36} = \frac{150}{1296} = \frac{25}{216}

Answer: 252160.1157\frac{25}{216} \approx 0.1157 (or 0.116 to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Correct distribution stated with both parameters
  • (b) M1: Correct binomial probability formula applied; A1: Correct answer

Question 6 [4 marks]

Let XX = number of emails per hour, XPo(3.5)X \sim \mathrm{Po}(3.5)

(a) [2 marks]

P(X=4)=e3.5×3.544!=e3.5×150.062524\mathrm{P}(X = 4) = \frac{e^{-3.5} \times 3.5^4}{4!} = \frac{e^{-3.5} \times 150.0625}{24}

=150.062524×e3.5=6.2526×0.030197=0.1888= \frac{150.0625}{24} \times e^{-3.5} = 6.2526 \times 0.030197 = 0.1888

Answer: 0.189 (to 3 s.f.)

(b) [2 marks]

For a 2-hour period, the mean is λ=3.5×2=7\lambda = 3.5 \times 2 = 7.

Let YPo(7)Y \sim \mathrm{Po}(7).

P(Y5)=1P(Y4)\mathrm{P}(Y \geq 5) = 1 - \mathrm{P}(Y \leq 4)

=1[e7700!+e7711!+e7722!+e7733!+e7744!]= 1 - \left[\frac{e^{-7}7^0}{0!} + \frac{e^{-7}7^1}{1!} + \frac{e^{-7}7^2}{2!} + \frac{e^{-7}7^3}{3!} + \frac{e^{-7}7^4}{4!}\right]

=1e7[1+7+492+3436+240124]= 1 - e^{-7}\left[1 + 7 + \frac{49}{2} + \frac{343}{6} + \frac{2401}{24}\right]

=1e7[1+7+24.5+57.167+100.042]= 1 - e^{-7}\left[1 + 7 + 24.5 + 57.167 + 100.042\right]

=1e7×189.708=10.0009119×189.708= 1 - e^{-7} \times 189.708 = 1 - 0.0009119 \times 189.708

=10.1730=0.8270= 1 - 0.1730 = 0.8270

Answer: 0.827 (to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Correct Poisson formula with λ=3.5\lambda = 3.5; A1: Correct answer
  • (b) M1: Correct adjustment of λ\lambda to 7 for 2 hours and use of complement; A1: Correct answer

Question 7 [3 marks]

Answer: 2144\frac{21}{44} or approximately 0.477

Working:

Total balls = 12. Selecting 3 balls without replacement.

P(2 red, 1 blue)=(72)×(51)(123)=21×5220=105220=2144\mathrm{P}(2 \text{ red, } 1 \text{ blue}) = \frac{\binom{7}{2} \times \binom{5}{1}}{\binom{12}{3}} = \frac{21 \times 5}{220} = \frac{105}{220} = \frac{21}{44}

Marking:

  • M1: Correct numerator (combinations of red and blue)
  • M1: Correct denominator (total combinations)
  • A1: Correct simplified answer

Question 8 [4 marks]

XB(20,0.3)X \sim \mathrm{B}(20, 0.3)

(a) [2 marks]

E(X)=np=20×0.3=6\mathrm{E}(X) = np = 20 \times 0.3 = 6

Var(X)=np(1p)=20×0.3×0.7=4.2\mathrm{Var}(X) = np(1-p) = 20 \times 0.3 \times 0.7 = 4.2

(b) [2 marks]

Since n=20n = 20 is moderately large and np=6>5np = 6 > 5, n(1p)=14>5n(1-p) = 14 > 5, we can use the normal approximation:

XapproxN(6,4.2)X \stackrel{\text{approx}}{\sim} \mathrm{N}(6, 4.2)

Using continuity correction:

P(X10)P(Z9.564.2)=P(Z3.52.049)=P(Z1.708)\mathrm{P}(X \geq 10) \approx \mathrm{P}\left(Z \geq \frac{9.5 - 6}{\sqrt{4.2}}\right) = \mathrm{P}\left(Z \geq \frac{3.5}{2.049}\right) = \mathrm{P}(Z \geq 1.708)

=1Φ(1.708)=10.9562=0.0438= 1 - \Phi(1.708) = 1 - 0.9562 = 0.0438

Answer: 0.0438 (to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Each correct (E(X) and Var(X))
  • (b) M1: Correct normal approximation with continuity correction; A1: Correct probability

Question 9 [4 marks]

(a) [2 marks]

For a valid PDF, 04f(x)dx=1\int_0^4 f(x)\,dx = 1:

04kx(4x)dx=k04(4xx2)dx=k[2x2x33]04\int_0^4 kx(4-x)\,dx = k\int_0^4 (4x - x^2)\,dx = k\left[2x^2 - \frac{x^3}{3}\right]_0^4

=k[(2(16)643)0]=k[32643]=k[96643]=k×323= k\left[\left(2(16) - \frac{64}{3}\right) - 0\right] = k\left[32 - \frac{64}{3}\right] = k\left[\frac{96 - 64}{3}\right] = k \times \frac{32}{3}

Setting equal to 1:

k×323=1    k=332(shown)k \times \frac{32}{3} = 1 \implies k = \frac{3}{32} \quad \text{(shown)}

(b) [2 marks]

E(X)=04x332x(4x)dx=33204(4x2x3)dx\mathrm{E}(X) = \int_0^4 x \cdot \frac{3}{32}x(4-x)\,dx = \frac{3}{32}\int_0^4 (4x^2 - x^3)\,dx

=332[4x33x44]04=332[25632564]= \frac{3}{32}\left[\frac{4x^3}{3} - \frac{x^4}{4}\right]_0^4 = \frac{3}{32}\left[\frac{256}{3} - \frac{256}{4}\right]

=332[256364]=332[2561923]=332×643=6432=2= \frac{3}{32}\left[\frac{256}{3} - 64\right] = \frac{3}{32}\left[\frac{256 - 192}{3}\right] = \frac{3}{32} \times \frac{64}{3} = \frac{64}{32} = 2

Answer: E(X)=2\mathrm{E}(X) = 2

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Correct integration; A1: Correct derivation of k=332k = \frac{3}{32}
  • (b) M1: Correct setup of E(X)\mathrm{E}(X) integral; A1: Correct answer

Section B: Applied Statistics & Data Interpretation (30 marks)


Question 10 [5 marks]

(a) [1 mark]

xˉ=320+280+350+410+390+4606=22106=368.33\bar{x} = \frac{320 + 280 + 350 + 410 + 390 + 460}{6} = \frac{2210}{6} = 368.33

Answer: $368 (to 3 s.f.)

(b) [2 marks]

s2=(xixˉ)2n1s^2 = \frac{\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}

xix_ixixˉx_i - \bar{x}(xixˉ)2(x_i - \bar{x})^2
320−48.332336.11
280−88.337802.78
350−18.33336.11
41041.671736.11
39021.67469.44
46091.678402.78

(xixˉ)2=21083.33\sum(x_i - \bar{x})^2 = 21083.33

s2=21083.335=4216.67s^2 = \frac{21083.33}{5} = 4216.67

s=4216.67=64.94s = \sqrt{4216.67} = 64.94

Answer: s = \64.9$ (to 3 s.f.)

(c) [2 marks]

Adding Sunday's sales of $520:

New mean: xˉnew=2210+5207=27307=390\bar{x}_{\text{new}} = \frac{2210 + 520}{7} = \frac{2730}{7} = 390

The mean increases from $368 to $390 because $520 is above the original mean, pulling the average up.

The standard deviation will also increase because $520 is far from the original mean, increasing the spread of the data. The new data point is an outlier relative to the original dataset, so both measures of central tendency and dispersion are affected.

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Correct mean
  • (b) M1: Correct method for standard deviation; A1: Correct answer
  • (c) B1: Mean increases (with reasoning); B1: Standard deviation increases (with reasoning)

Question 11 [6 marks]

(a) [3 marks]

Calculating summary statistics:

n=8n = 8

x=2.0+3.5+4.0+5.5+6.0+7.5+8.0+9.0=45.5\sum x = 2.0 + 3.5 + 4.0 + 5.5 + 6.0 + 7.5 + 8.0 + 9.0 = 45.5

y=15+22+25+30+33+38+40+45=248\sum y = 15 + 22 + 25 + 30 + 33 + 38 + 40 + 45 = 248

xˉ=45.58=5.6875\bar{x} = \frac{45.5}{8} = 5.6875

yˉ=2488=31\bar{y} = \frac{248}{8} = 31

xy=(2.0×15)+(3.5×22)+(4.0×25)+(5.5×30)+(6.0×33)+(7.5×38)+(8.0×40)+(9.0×45)\sum xy = (2.0 \times 15) + (3.5 \times 22) + (4.0 \times 25) + (5.5 \times 30) + (6.0 \times 33) + (7.5 \times 38) + (8.0 \times 40) + (9.0 \times 45)

=30+77+100+165+198+285+320+405=1580= 30 + 77 + 100 + 165 + 198 + 285 + 320 + 405 = 1580

x2=4+12.25+16+30.25+36+56.25+64+81=299.75\sum x^2 = 4 + 12.25 + 16 + 30.25 + 36 + 56.25 + 64 + 81 = 299.75

Sxy=xy(x)(y)n=158045.5×2488=15801410.5=169.5S_{xy} = \sum xy - \frac{(\sum x)(\sum y)}{n} = 1580 - \frac{45.5 \times 248}{8} = 1580 - 1410.5 = 169.5

Sxx=x2(x)2n=299.7545.528=299.75258.781=40.969S_{xx} = \sum x^2 - \frac{(\sum x)^2}{n} = 299.75 - \frac{45.5^2}{8} = 299.75 - 258.781 = 40.969

b=SxySxx=169.540.969=4.137b = \frac{S_{xy}}{S_{xx}} = \frac{169.5}{40.969} = 4.137

a=yˉbxˉ=314.137×5.6875=3123.530=7.470a = \bar{y} - b\bar{x} = 31 - 4.137 \times 5.6875 = 31 - 23.530 = 7.470

Answer: y=7.47+4.14xy = 7.47 + 4.14x (to 3 s.f.)

(b) [1 mark]

Answer: For every additional $1,000 spent on advertising, the monthly sales revenue increases by approximately $4,140.

(c) [2 marks]

When x=6.5x = 6.5:

y=7.47+4.14×6.5=7.47+26.91=34.38y = 7.47 + 4.14 \times 6.5 = 7.47 + 26.91 = 34.38

Answer: Estimated sales revenue is approximately $34,400.

Comment: Since x=6.5x = 6.5 lies within the range of the data (2.0 to 9.0), this is an interpolation and the estimate is reasonably reliable.

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Correct calculation of SxyS_{xy} and SxxS_{xx}; M1: Correct bb and aa; A1: Correct equation to 3 s.f.
  • (b) B1: Correct interpretation in context
  • (c) M1: Correct substitution; A1: Correct estimate with valid reliability comment

Question 12 [5 marks]

(a) [1 mark]

H0:μ=5.0H_0: \mu = 5.0 mmol/L
H1:μ>5.0H_1: \mu > 5.0 mmol/L

(b) [1 mark]

Since n=36n = 36 is large, by the Central Limit Theorem, we use the zz-test:

z=xˉμ0s/n=5.35.01.2/36=0.31.2/6=0.30.2=1.5z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{s / \sqrt{n}} = \frac{5.3 - 5.0}{1.2 / \sqrt{36}} = \frac{0.3}{1.2 / 6} = \frac{0.3}{0.2} = 1.5

(c) [3 marks]

This is a one-tailed test at the 5% significance level.

Critical value: z0.05=1.645z_{0.05} = 1.645

Since z=1.5<1.645z = 1.5 < 1.645, we do not reject H0H_0.

Conclusion: There is insufficient evidence at the 5% significance level to support the claim that the mean cholesterol level is greater than 5.0 mmol/L.

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Both hypotheses correct (one-tailed)
  • (b) B1: Correct test statistic
  • (c) M1: Correct critical value; M1: Correct comparison and decision; A1: Correct conclusion in context

Question 13 [5 marks]

(a) [3 marks]

Total outcomes = 6×6=366 \times 6 = 36

ss23456789101112
P(S=s)\mathrm{P}(S = s)136\frac{1}{36}236\frac{2}{36}336\frac{3}{36}436\frac{4}{36}536\frac{5}{36}636\frac{6}{36}536\frac{5}{36}436\frac{4}{36}336\frac{3}{36}236\frac{2}{36}136\frac{1}{36}

(b) [2 marks]

E(S)=sP(S=s)\mathrm{E}(S) = \sum s \cdot \mathrm{P}(S = s)

=136[2(1)+3(2)+4(3)+5(4)+6(5)+7(6)+8(5)+9(4)+10(3)+11(2)+12(1)]= \frac{1}{36}[2(1) + 3(2) + 4(3) + 5(4) + 6(5) + 7(6) + 8(5) + 9(4) + 10(3) + 11(2) + 12(1)]

=136[2+6+12+20+30+42+40+36+30+22+12]=25236=7= \frac{1}{36}[2 + 6 + 12 + 20 + 30 + 42 + 40 + 36 + 30 + 22 + 12] = \frac{252}{36} = 7

E(S2)=136[4(1)+9(2)+16(3)+25(4)+36(5)+49(6)+64(5)+81(4)+100(3)+121(2)+144(1)]\mathrm{E}(S^2) = \frac{1}{36}[4(1) + 9(2) + 16(3) + 25(4) + 36(5) + 49(6) + 64(5) + 81(4) + 100(3) + 121(2) + 144(1)]

=136[4+18+48+100+180+294+320+324+300+242+144]=197436=54.833= \frac{1}{36}[4 + 18 + 48 + 100 + 180 + 294 + 320 + 324 + 300 + 242 + 144] = \frac{1974}{36} = 54.833

Var(S)=E(S2)[E(S)]2=54.83349=5.833\mathrm{Var}(S) = \mathrm{E}(S^2) - [\mathrm{E}(S)]^2 = 54.833 - 49 = 5.833

Answer: E(S)=7\mathrm{E}(S) = 7, Var(S)=5.83\mathrm{Var}(S) = 5.83 (to 3 s.f.) or 356\frac{35}{6}

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Correct numerator pattern (1,2,3,4,5,6,5,4,3,2,1); B1: Correct denominator 36; B1: All probabilities correct
  • (b) M1: Correct method for E(S) and Var(S); A1: Both correct

Question 14 [4 marks]

XN(180,152)X \sim \mathrm{N}(180, 15^2)

(a) [2 marks]

P(165<X<195)=P(16518015<Z<19518015)=P(1<Z<1)\mathrm{P}(165 < X < 195) = \mathrm{P}\left(\frac{165 - 180}{15} < Z < \frac{195 - 180}{15}\right) = \mathrm{P}(-1 < Z < 1)

=Φ(1)Φ(1)=0.84130.1587=0.6826= \Phi(1) - \Phi(-1) = 0.8413 - 0.1587 = 0.6826

Answer: 0.683 (to 3 s.f.)

(b) [2 marks]

For the sample mean Xˉ\bar{X} of n=9n = 9 apples:

XˉN(180,1529)=N(180,25)\bar{X} \sim \mathrm{N}\left(180, \frac{15^2}{9}\right) = \mathrm{N}(180, 25)

P(Xˉ>185)=P(Z>1851805)=P(Z>1)=1Φ(1)=10.8413=0.1587\mathrm{P}(\bar{X} > 185) = \mathrm{P}\left(Z > \frac{185 - 180}{5}\right) = \mathrm{P}(Z > 1) = 1 - \Phi(1) = 1 - 0.8413 = 0.1587

Answer: 0.159 (to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) M1: Correct standardisation; A1: Correct probability
  • (b) M1: Correct distribution of sample mean with σ/n=5\sigma/\sqrt{n} = 5; A1: Correct probability

Question 15 [5 marks]

(a) [1 mark]

P(MRT)=72200=0.36\mathrm{P}(\text{MRT}) = \frac{72}{200} = 0.36

(b) [2 marks]

P(both bus)=55200×54199=297039800=0.07462\mathrm{P}(\text{both bus}) = \frac{55}{200} \times \frac{54}{199} = \frac{2970}{39800} = 0.07462

Answer: 0.0746 (to 3 s.f.)

(c) [2 marks]

P(at least one walks)=1P(none walk)\mathrm{P}(\text{at least one walks}) = 1 - \mathrm{P}(\text{none walk})

P(none walk)=165200×164199×163198=44659807880400=0.5667\mathrm{P}(\text{none walk}) = \frac{165}{200} \times \frac{164}{199} \times \frac{163}{198} = \frac{4465980}{7880400} = 0.5667

P(at least one walks)=10.5667=0.4333\mathrm{P}(\text{at least one walks}) = 1 - 0.5667 = 0.4333

Answer: 0.433 (to 3 s.f.)

Marking:

  • (a) B1: Correct probability
  • (b) M1: Correct multiplication of conditional probabilities (without replacement); A1: Correct answer
  • (c) M1: Correct use of complement and multiplication; A1: Correct answer

Mark Summary

SectionMarks
Section A: Questions 1–930
Section B: Questions 10–1530
Total60