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A Level H1 Mathematics Practice Paper 2
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Questions
TuitionGoWhere Exam Practice (AI) - A-Level Maths H1
Subject: Mathematics (H1)
Level: A-Level
Paper: Practice Paper 2 of 5 (Statistics & Probability Focus)
Duration: 1 hour 30 minutes
Total Marks: 60
Name: __________________________
Class: __________________________
Date: __________________________
Instructions to Candidates
- Write your name, class, and date in the spaces provided.
- Answer all questions.
- Write your answers in the spaces provided in this booklet.
- Give non-exact numerical answers correct to 3 significant figures, or 1 decimal place for angles in degrees, unless a different level of accuracy is specified in the question.
- You are expected to use an approved graphing calculator.
- Unsupported answers from a graphing calculator are allowed unless the question specifically states otherwise.
- Clear presentation in your working is essential.
Section A: Probability and Distributions (20 Marks)
1. A company manufactures smartphone cases. The probability that a case is defective is 0.04. A random sample of 25 cases is selected.
(a) State the distribution of the number of defective cases in the sample, defining any variables used. [1]
(b) Find the probability that exactly 2 cases are defective. [2]
(c) Find the probability that at least 1 case is defective. [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>2. The weights of durians sold at a market are normally distributed with mean 1.8 kg and standard deviation 0.3 kg.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen durian weighs more than 2.2 kg. [2]
(b) Find the weight such that 10% of durians weigh less than . [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>3. Events and are such that , , and .
(a) Find . [1]
(b) Determine whether events and are independent, giving a reason for your answer. [2]
(c) Find . [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>4. In a certain population, 60% of adults prefer tea over coffee. A random sample of 8 adults is chosen.
(a) Find the probability that more than 5 adults prefer tea. [2]
(b) Find the expected number of adults who prefer tea in this sample. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>5. The time taken by students to complete a statistics quiz is normally distributed with mean 25 minutes and variance 16 minutes.
(a) Find the probability that a student takes between 20 and 30 minutes. [2]
(b) If 100 students take the quiz, estimate how many students take more than 33 minutes. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>Section B: Sampling and Estimation (20 Marks)
6. A random sample of 10 students was asked how many hours they spent on social media last week. The results are summarized as follows:
(a) Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population mean. [1]
(b) Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance. [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>7. The masses of packets of rice are normally distributed with mean kg and standard deviation 0.05 kg. A random sample of 16 packets has a mean mass of 4.98 kg.
(a) Find a 95% confidence interval for the population mean . [3]
(b) State whether the population mean is likely to be 5.00 kg, giving a reason. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>8. A surveyor wants to estimate the mean height of trees in a forest. He takes a random sample of 50 trees. The sample mean height is 12.5 m and the sample variance is 4.0 m.
(a) Find the standard error of the mean. [2]
(b) Find the probability that the sample mean is within 0.5 m of the population mean. [3]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>9. The daily revenue of a shop is normally distributed with mean $2000 and standard deviation $300.
(a) Find the probability that the mean daily revenue over a period of 9 days is less than $1900. [3]
(b) Explain why the Central Limit Theorem is not needed in this calculation. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>10. A manufacturer claims that the mean lifetime of their light bulbs is 1000 hours. A consumer group tests a random sample of 36 bulbs and finds a mean lifetime of 980 hours with a standard deviation of 60 hours.
(a) Calculate the test statistic for testing the manufacturer's claim. [2]
(b) State the distribution of the test statistic under the null hypothesis. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>Section C: Hypothesis Testing and Regression (20 Marks)
11. A teacher claims that the mean score of her class in a test is greater than 70. A random sample of 25 students has a mean score of 74 and a standard deviation of 10. Assume the scores are normally distributed.
Test the teacher's claim at the 5% significance level.
(a) State the null and alternative hypotheses. [2]
(b) Calculate the test statistic. [2]
(c) Determine the critical value or p-value and state your conclusion in context. [3]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <br> <br>12. The table below shows the advertising expenditure (in $1000s) and sales (in $10,000s) for 6 months.
| Month | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | 5 |
| 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 4 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | 11 |
| 6 | 12 | 13 |
(a) Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient, . [2]
(b) Interpret the value of in the context of the data. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>13. Using the data from Question 12:
(a) Find the equation of the regression line of on in the form . [2]
(b) Estimate the sales when the advertising expenditure is $15,000. [1]
(c) Comment on the reliability of this estimate. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>14. A researcher investigates the relationship between study time ( hours) and exam marks (). The regression line of on is found to be .
(a) Interpret the gradient of the regression line. [1]
(b) Explain why it might not be appropriate to use this line to predict the mark of a student who studied for 0 hours. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>15. In a hypothesis test for the population mean, the null hypothesis is and the alternative hypothesis is . The test is carried out at the 10% significance level.
(a) Define what is meant by the "critical region" in this context. [1]
(b) If the test statistic falls in the critical region, what conclusion should be drawn? [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>16. The number of customers entering a shop per hour follows a Poisson distribution with mean 8.
(a) Find the probability that exactly 6 customers enter in a given hour. [2]
(b) Find the probability that more than 10 customers enter in a given hour. [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>17. A box contains 5 red balls and 3 blue balls. Two balls are drawn at random without replacement.
(a) Draw a tree diagram to represent the outcomes. [2]
(b) Find the probability that both balls are red. [1]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>18. The heights of male students in a school are normally distributed with mean 170 cm and standard deviation 10 cm.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected student is taller than 185 cm. [2]
(b) Find the height such that 90% of students are shorter than . [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>19. A sample of 40 observations has and .
(a) Calculate the sample mean. [1]
(b) Calculate the unbiased estimate of the population variance. [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>20. The lifespan of a battery is normally distributed with mean 20 hours and standard deviation 2 hours.
(a) Find the probability that a battery lasts between 18 and 22 hours. [2]
(b) If 5 batteries are chosen at random, find the probability that all 5 last between 18 and 22 hours. [2]
<br> <br> <br> <br> <br>End of Paper
Answers
TuitionGoWhere Exam Practice (AI) - A-Level Maths H1
Answer Key and Marking Scheme - Practice Paper 2 of 5
Subject: Mathematics (H1)
Topic: Statistics and Probability
Section A: Probability and Distributions
1. (a) Let be the number of defective cases. . [1] (b) . [2] (c) . [2]
2. Let be the weight of a durian. . (a) . [2] (b) kg. [2]
3. (a) . [1] (b) . Since , events are independent. [2] (c) . [2]
4. Let be the number of adults preferring tea. . (a) . [2] (b) . [1]
5. Let be the time taken. . (a) . [2] (b) . Expected number or (depending on rounding, 2.28 rounds to 2). [1]
Section B: Sampling and Estimation
6. (a) Unbiased estimate of mean . [1] (b) Unbiased estimate of variance . [2]
7. (a) 95% CI: . Interval: . [3] (b) Yes, 5.00 is within the confidence interval. [1]
8. (a) Standard error . [2] (b) . [3]
9. (a) Let be the mean revenue over 9 days. . . [3] (b) The population is already normally distributed, so the sample mean is exactly normal regardless of sample size. CLT is for large samples from non-normal populations. [1]
10. (a) Test statistic . [2] (b) Standard Normal Distribution, . [1]
Section C: Hypothesis Testing and Regression
11. (a) , . [2] (b) . [2] (c) Critical value for 5% one-tail is 1.645. Since , reject . There is sufficient evidence to support the teacher's claim that the mean score is greater than 70. [3]
12. (a) Using GC, . [2] (b) There is a perfect positive linear correlation between advertising expenditure and sales. [1]
13. (a) Using GC, (or ). [2] (b) If , . Sales = $160,000. [1] (c) This is extrapolation (outside the range of data 2-12), so it may not be reliable. [1]
14. (a) For every additional hour of study, the exam mark increases by 5 marks on average. [1] (b) Extrapolation to 0 hours may not be valid as the linear relationship might not hold at low study times, or a student might still get some marks by guessing. [1]
15. (a) The set of values for the test statistic for which the null hypothesis is rejected. [1] (b) Reject the null hypothesis. [1]
16. Let be the number of customers. . (a) . [2] (b) . [2]
17. (a) Tree diagram: First branch Red (5/8), Blue (3/8). Second branch from Red: Red (4/7), Blue (3/7). From Blue: Red (5/7), Blue (2/7). [2] (b) . [1]
18. Let be height. . (a) . [2] (b) cm. [2]
19. (a) . [1] (b) . [2]
20. Let be lifespan. . (a) . [2] (b) Let . Probability all 5 last between 18 and 22 hours is . [2]